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ConservativeLive

Conservative

Blue-chip bias, only the highest-conviction signals — up to 12 positions, holds more cash when signals are weak. Lowest risk.

Portfolio value

€8,850.97

from €10,000.00 on Mar 1, 2026

Updated 24 hours ago

Total return

-11.49%

-€1,149.03

-3.8%vs same coins(-7.7%)

Live since launch

-24.91%

out-of-sample · 46d tracked

Since inception

Win rate

35%

Max drawdown

−34.5%

Sharpe

-0.53

Avg hold

17d

Best trade

+99%

Closed trades

81

Simulated portfolio. No real capital is deployed — trades execute against historical and live prices off our public signals, with modeled slippage. Past performance doesn't predict future results. Not financial advice.

Portfolio value over time

Before launch (replay) Tracked live Same coins, no signalsBuys / sells
If you invested

Performance left of the green line is a backtested replay of historical signals; right of it is tracked live, trade by trade. Simulated — not financial advice.

How this strategy trades

The rules the engine enforces — every buy and sell follows them, with no manual overrides.

Entry thresholdScore ≥ 40
Max positions12
Max per position20%
Take profit+40%
Hard stop−30%
Min holdSignal horizon

Positions are held at least their entry signal's backtested horizon (RSI ≈ 7d, MACD ≈ 14d, golden cross ≈ 30d), then exit on take-profit, a faded-momentum lock above +12%, a signal reversal (score ≤ −15 or death cross), or the hard stop.

Current holdings

6 positions
ONDO

ONDO

2,332.9795 @ $0.366378

€898.02

10.1%

+5.1%
SHIB

SHIB

156,907,241.957 @ $0.000005

€778.26

8.8%

+2.3%
PEPE

PEPE

271,604,323.0451 @ $0.000003

€746.91

8.4%

-4.3%
AVAX

AVAX

111.63 @ $6.80

€706.62

8.0%

-6.9%
AAVE

AAVE

7.7195 @ $98.49

€705.10

8.0%

-7.3%
ENA

ENA

8,417.8548 @ $0.091154

€683.92

7.7%

-10.9%

Cash

Uninvested

€4,332.15

48.9%

Performance breakdown

Realised P/L-€985.17
Total trades168
Closed positions81
Win rate34.6%
Average hold17.3 days
Best trade+98.7%
Worst trade-87.2%
Max positions12
Under the hood

Performance analytics

Risk-adjusted, not just total return. The numbers a systematic trader checks before trusting a curve — and the drawdown chart that shows the pain a smooth equity line hides.

Computed from 81 closed trades over 152 days. Annualised ratios (Sharpe, Sortino, Calmar, volatility, CAGR) project a short sample forward — read them as directional, not a promise. They firm up as the live track record grows.

Sortino (ann.)

-0.71

Calmar (ann.)

-0.73

Volatility (ann.)

+39.8%

CAGR (ann.)

-25.2%

Profit factor

0.86

Payoff ratio

1.69

Expectancy / trade

-1.0%

Current drawdown

−34.5%

Avg win

+24.1%

Avg loss

-14.2%

Best win streak

6 trades

Worst loss streak

13 trades

Drawdown (underwater)

Max 34.5%Longest underwater 57dCurrent 34.5% · 57d

How far below the prior peak the portfolio sat each day. Depth is the loss you'd have stomached; width is how long you'd have waited to get back to even.

Monthly returns

3/5 green months

Mar 26

+2.8%

Apr 26

+9.3%

May 26

+15.7%

Jun 26

-23.9%

Jul 26 ·

-10.5%

Chained off each prior month's close. The latest month (·) is still running.

Trade outcomes

81 closed

The distribution of every closed trade's %P/L — the shape the win rate flattens into a single number.

Copy this strategy

Mirror every Conservative trade — scaled to your capital — the moment the agent moves.

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  • Website notificationsShown the next time you visit

Trade ledger

168 trades · every move with the signal that triggered it.

Showing 12 of 168

Append-only · SHA-256 verified1285c9306e1c9e9c

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Full disclosure

Methodology & limitations

We'd rather under-claim than oversell. Exactly how the numbers are produced — and what they don't account for.

What's modeled
No look-ahead
Each day's decision uses only price data available up to that day. The engine can never see the future.
Real signals
Buys and sells fire on the same published RSI / MACD / moving-average rules as the live screener — no secret model.
Slippage
Every fill takes a cost haircut scaled to the coin's liquidity tier, so prices aren't idealised.
What it doesn't capture
Survivorship
The backtested span trades today's tracked universe (≈ top-50 liquid, Binance-listed coins). Names that have since dropped out aren't represented, which can flatter backtested returns. Live-tracked results from launch are unaffected.
Costs not captured
Exchange trading fees, funding, taxes and large-order market impact are not deducted — real net returns would be lower.
Simulated
No capital is deployed and no orders are routed. Past performance doesn't predict future results. Not financial advice.

Want these moves the moment they happen?

These portfolios trade the exact signals CoinSeekly publishes. Get every new trade in real time and run the same screener the engine reads.