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Stellar MACD: current state and every crossover

Stellar's MACD line is below its signal line on the October 6, 2026 close, a bearish reading, 3 days since the last crossover. Below is the chart and a record of every crossover with what XLM did over the next 7 and 30 days.

State
bearish

MACD below signal

Histogram
−0.00

MACD 0.01 · signal 0.01

Last crossover
3 days ago

bearish cross, October 3, 2026

Crossovers, last year
31

bullish and bearish

What stands out

  • Stellar's MACD is bearish: the last crossover was bearish cross on October 3, 2026, 3 days ago.
  • 30 days after a bullish cross, Stellar was higher 47% of the time with a median move of −4.8% across 99 events; on an ordinary day it was higher 44% of the time (median −2.7%), so the result was worse than usual.
  • 30 days after a bearish cross, Stellar was higher 40% of the time with a median move of −4.6% across 98 events; on an ordinary day it was higher 44% of the time (median −2.7%), so the result was worse than usual.
  • XLM has had 200 MACD crossovers since January 1, 2019, 31 of them in the last year. MACD reverses often in a sideways market, which is why many crosses did not lead anywhere.

Counted from 2,836 daily closes on Binance to October 6, 2026. Events cluster in a few market cycles and overlap in time, so these are small, related samples: a record of what happened, not a forecast.

Stellar price with MACD (12, 26, 9)

Daily closes. Hover or touch the chart for a day.

$0.20$0.30$0.40-0.02300.0236 Nov5 Jan6 Mar5 May4 Jul2 Sept
  • MACD line
  • Signal line
  • Bullish cross
  • Bearish cross

What followed each signal

How Stellar did 7 and 30 days after each kind of signal, against every ordinary day in the same data. Only events with the full 30 days of data after them count towards the 30-day figures.

Bullish cross100−1.7%47%−4.8%47%
Bearish cross99−2.0%37%−4.6%40%
Any day2,829−1.0%45%−2.7%44%

“Any day” is the yardstick: what followed every day in the data, signal or not.

Every MACD signal on Stellar

200 signals since January 1, 2019, newest first. Select a column heading to sort; hover a return for the prices.

2026-10-03Bearish cross$0.2161pendingpending
2026-09-18Bullish cross$0.1931+14.1%pending
2026-09-10Bearish cross$0.1746+5.0%pending
2026-09-06Bullish cross$0.1877−5.6%+14.5%
2026-08-31Bearish cross$0.1773+9.2%+27.6%
2026-08-19Bullish cross$0.1703+8.8%+13.4%
2026-08-18Bearish cross$0.1549+17.8%+18.4%
2026-08-17Bullish cross$0.1582+22.5%+16.2%
2026-07-24Bearish cross$0.1779−3.2%+12.3%
2026-07-19Bullish cross$0.1882−3.0%−17.7%
2026-07-08Bearish cross$0.1813+3.9%−11.0%
2026-07-03Bullish cross$0.2041−6.6%−14.6%
2026-06-22Bearish cross$0.2029−13.7%−7.5%
2026-06-17Bullish cross$0.2256−17.8%−17.8%
2026-06-07Bearish cross$0.2059−7.2%−8.3%
2026-05-27Bullish cross$0.1641+27.2%+8.4%
2026-05-15Bearish cross$0.1547−7.2%+23.5%
2026-05-10Bullish cross$0.1696−11.9%+13.4%
2026-04-28Bearish cross$0.1618−1.2%+26.0%
2026-04-16Bullish cross$0.1693+3.7%−10.3%
2026-03-30Bearish cross$0.1674−7.0%−4.8%
2026-02-13Bullish cross$0.1646−1.2%+2.9%
2026-01-18Bearish cross$0.2182−6.8%−24.1%
2025-12-26Bullish cross$0.2136+2.6%−4.8%
2025-12-15Bearish cross$0.22050.0%+7.1%
2025-11-24Bullish cross$0.2547−8.2%−16.7%
2025-11-14Bearish cross$0.2595−10.7%−11.7%
2025-11-09Bullish cross$0.2858−11.1%−11.4%
2025-11-03Bearish cross$0.2782+8.0%−7.3%
2025-10-25Bullish cross$0.3249−6.1%−21.6%
2025-10-10Bearish cross$0.3191−3.3%−10.4%
2025-10-01Bullish cross$0.3982−2.5%−23.4%
2025-09-22Bearish cross$0.3683+1.0%−16.3%
2025-09-08Bullish cross$0.3776+0.8%+2.9%
2025-08-14Bearish cross$0.4235−7.6%−4.4%
2025-08-12Bullish cross$0.4493−13.0%−11.8%
2025-07-24Bearish cross$0.4246−5.6%−1.9%
2025-07-02Bullish cross$0.238+21.1%+60.6%
2025-07-01Bearish cross$0.2254+15.2%+77.9%
2025-06-30Bullish cross$0.238+4.2%+71.3%
2025-06-13Bearish cross$0.2608−7.2%+80.4%
2025-06-10Bullish cross$0.2805−10.2%+8.0%
2025-05-17Bearish cross$0.2864−0.1%−8.7%
2025-05-08Bullish cross$0.2912+0.7%−9.1%
2025-05-05Bearish cross$0.2583+21.1%+3.2%
2025-04-14Bullish cross$0.2399+4.3%+26.6%
2025-04-02Bearish cross$0.2581−6.2%+6.4%
2025-03-14Bullish cross$0.2762+0.3%−13.8%
2025-03-08Bearish cross$0.2758−0.4%−15.8%
2025-03-02Bullish cross$0.3511−25.1%−22.5%
2025-02-25Bearish cross$0.2955−0.2%−3.1%
2025-02-14Bullish cross$0.3506−7.0%−25.1%
2025-01-21Bearish cross$0.4423−11.2%−22.1%
2025-01-02Bullish cross$0.4321−9.4%−9.2%
2024-12-05Bearish cross$0.4709−9.7%−4.4%
2024-11-06Bullish cross$0.097+28.0%+411.0%
2024-10-31Bearish cross$0.0924+10.5%+468.1%
2024-10-29Bullish cross$0.0967−3.4%+417.3%
2024-10-28Bearish cross$0.0944−3.5%+412.0%
2024-10-15Bullish cross$0.093+2.5%+41.1%
2024-10-02Bearish cross$0.0905−0.8%+3.0%
2024-09-10Bullish cross$0.094+0.6%−4.0%
2024-08-27Bearish cross$0.0937−2.5%+4.5%
2024-08-21Bullish cross$0.0986−6.0%−2.5%
2024-08-15Bearish cross$0.0956+3.5%+1.7%
2024-08-09Bullish cross$0.0999−5.1%−10.0%
2024-07-27Bearish cross$0.1015−8.1%−4.3%
2024-07-09Bullish cross$0.088+21.4%+17.2%
2024-07-07Bearish cross$0.0839+24.7%+10.3%
2024-06-28Bullish cross$0.091−6.2%+10.2%
2024-05-31Bearish cross$0.1063−5.7%−14.1%
2024-05-15Bullish cross$0.1067+3.7%−9.2%
2024-05-12Bearish cross$0.1048+0.7%−7.6%
2024-04-22Bullish cross$0.1182−5.2%−6.3%
2024-04-01Bearish cross$0.1355−1.5%−18.0%
2024-03-29Bullish cross$0.1428−10.7%−21.4%
2024-03-15Bearish cross$0.1369−6.3%−19.2%
2024-02-09Bullish cross$0.112+3.1%+24.8%
2024-02-01Bearish cross$0.1099−0.1%+25.8%
2024-01-27Bullish cross$0.1163−4.6%+1.5%
2024-01-03Bearish cross$0.1205+0.2%−8.4%
2023-12-25Bullish cross$0.131+0.8%−14.0%
2023-12-15Bearish cross$0.123+2.9%−4.0%
2023-12-02Bullish cross$0.1216+10.0%+8.6%
2023-11-13Bearish cross$0.1223−2.1%+2.1%
2023-10-18Bullish cross$0.1032+10.9%+14.7%
2023-10-17Bearish cross$0.1029+11.1%+15.1%
2023-10-16Bullish cross$0.1074+8.1%+13.0%
2023-10-09Bearish cross$0.106+1.3%+20.4%
2023-10-01Bullish cross$0.1143−3.1%+6.0%
2023-09-16Bearish cross$0.1194−4.4%−10.1%
2023-09-04Bullish cross$0.1244+3.3%−9.6%
2023-07-30Bearish cross$0.1565−10.9%−20.4%
2023-07-13Bullish cross$0.1552+5.2%−11.1%
2023-07-07Bearish cross$0.0974+38.6%+43.1%
2023-06-21Bullish cross$0.0868+15.7%+81.1%
2023-06-08Bearish cross$0.0871−12.3%+14.5%
2023-05-18Bullish cross$0.0888−1.8%−10.2%
2023-04-09Bearish cross$0.1048+2.4%−15.1%
2023-03-14Bullish cross$0.0883+9.1%+19.4%
2023-02-25Bearish cross$0.088−4.9%+5.1%
2023-02-19Bullish cross$0.0905−1.7%+6.4%
2023-01-31Bearish cross$0.0906+1.5%−3.4%
2022-12-26Bullish cross$0.0753−2.1%+22.7%
2022-12-16Bearish cross$0.0743+1.5%+18.4%
2022-11-24Bullish cross$0.09−2.6%−17.4%
2022-11-08Bearish cross$0.0988−6.4%−13.4%
2022-11-04Bullish cross$0.1156−17.6%−24.1%
2022-10-30Bearish cross$0.1112−2.0%−20.4%
2022-10-29Bullish cross$0.1135+0.1%−23.1%
2022-10-12Bearish cross$0.1164−4.8%−18.1%
2022-10-01Bullish cross$0.1215+3.8%−8.4%
2022-09-28Bearish cross$0.1083+9.8%+4.0%
2022-09-08Bullish cross$0.1044−2.1%+20.8%
2022-09-06Bearish cross$0.0997+4.8%+19.9%
2022-09-05Bullish cross$0.1051+8.4%+13.1%
2022-08-16Bearish cross$0.1219−9.2%−16.2%
2022-07-14Bullish cross$0.1072+6.0%+18.3%
2022-07-12Bearish cross$0.1003+18.1%+24.9%
2022-07-04Bullish cross$0.1113−9.0%+2.6%
2022-07-03Bearish cross$0.1091−1.5%+5.5%
2022-06-23Bullish cross$0.118−4.8%−5.4%
2022-06-12Bearish cross$0.1185−3.1%−15.4%
2022-05-21Bullish cross$0.1308−6.2%−13.5%
2022-04-06Bearish cross$0.2031−3.2%−15.6%
2022-03-09Bullish cross$0.1887+0.3%+7.1%
2022-03-05Bearish cross$0.1803+2.6%+28.6%
2022-03-01Bullish cross$0.1989−12.9%+14.8%
2022-02-18Bearish cross$0.2006−4.8%−1.7%
2022-02-01Bullish cross$0.2019+19.9%−6.9%
2022-01-17Bearish cross$0.2559−22.7%−14.5%
2022-01-12Bullish cross$0.2822−13.0%−23.7%
2022-01-07Bearish cross$0.2569+2.9%−12.9%
2021-12-21Bullish cross$0.2671+2.6%−13.3%
2021-11-14Bearish cross$0.3773−9.0%−29.2%
2021-11-09Bullish cross$0.4127−16.9%−33.8%
2021-10-26Bearish cross$0.3731+2.5%−8.4%
2021-10-25Bullish cross$0.388−5.7%−15.6%
2021-10-24Bearish cross$0.3723+0.1%−8.4%
2021-10-01Bullish cross$0.3003+12.0%+24.0%
2021-09-07Bearish cross$0.3358−1.3%+2.3%
2021-09-05Bullish cross$0.3976−16.3%−19.8%
2021-08-24Bearish cross$0.3504−3.2%−13.5%
2021-06-27Bullish cross$0.2598+3.2%+1.2%
2021-06-21Bearish cross$0.2358+11.7%−3.2%
2021-06-13Bullish cross$0.3449−13.8%−32.7%
2021-05-19Bearish cross$0.4432+0.1%−32.9%
2021-05-02Bullish cross$0.556+13.0%−24.7%
2021-04-19Bearish cross$0.4998−2.8%−11.3%
2021-03-29Bullish cross$0.4045+32.8%+22.8%
2021-02-20Bearish cross$0.4861−9.9%−19.3%
2021-02-01Bullish cross$0.3232+22.7%+30.1%
2021-01-20Bearish cross$0.2936−19.0%+74.7%
2021-01-05Bullish cross$0.1929+45.1%+68.8%
2020-12-04Bearish cross$0.1615−6.7%−15.5%
2020-11-07Bullish cross$0.0795+1.8%+111.3%
2020-10-28Bearish cross$0.0783−4.8%+164.3%
2020-09-26Bullish cross$0.0739−3.9%+9.7%
2020-09-21Bearish cross$0.07+4.7%+19.5%
2020-09-14Bullish cross$0.0802−12.8%−7.8%
2020-08-19Bearish cross$0.1022−4.1%−23.4%
2020-08-16Bullish cross$0.1152−10.6%−32.5%
2020-08-07Bearish cross$0.1031+1.7%−24.9%
2020-08-04Bullish cross$0.1102−9.1%−29.4%
2020-07-23Bearish cross$0.0982−1.9%+4.2%
2020-07-04Bullish cross$0.068+38.4%+54.7%
2020-06-11Bearish cross$0.0711−0.7%+32.4%
2020-06-01Bullish cross$0.0757+5.7%−9.7%
2020-05-08Bearish cross$0.0725−7.2%+8.7%
2020-03-21Bullish cross$0.0396+1.0%+25.1%
2020-02-17Bearish cross$0.0727−5.0%−49.3%
2019-12-24Bullish cross$0.045−0.1%+29.6%
2019-12-14Bearish cross$0.0509−10.8%−5.4%
2019-12-13Bullish cross$0.0527−12.4%−6.9%
2019-12-12Bearish cross$0.052−13.1%−7.2%
2019-12-08Bullish cross$0.0558−8.7%−13.3%
2019-11-15Bearish cross$0.0721−18.0%−29.3%
2019-10-25Bullish cross$0.0643+7.3%−13.7%
2019-10-23Bearish cross$0.0598+6.8%−1.1%
2019-10-07Bullish cross$0.0621+6.5%+23.8%
2019-09-24Bearish cross$0.0528+11.1%+14.0%
2019-09-07Bullish cross$0.0605−3.1%+2.5%
2019-09-06Bearish cross$0.058−0.4%+0.7%
2019-09-02Bullish cross$0.063−4.4%−5.3%
2019-08-30Bearish cross$0.0619−6.3%−6.5%
2019-08-19Bullish cross$0.0717−2.9%+15.2%
2019-08-14Bearish cross$0.0692−3.3%−16.5%
2019-08-11Bullish cross$0.0782−9.6%−23.7%
2019-08-09Bearish cross$0.0718−4.7%−15.0%
2019-07-20Bullish cross$0.0947−11.0%−24.3%
2019-06-25Bearish cross$0.124−17.0%−30.9%
2019-06-24Bullish cross$0.1285−17.5%−33.0%
2019-06-18Bearish cross$0.1237+0.2%−28.6%
2019-06-17Bullish cross$0.1309−1.8%−38.5%
2019-05-30Bearish cross$0.1287−3.0%−10.7%
2019-05-11Bullish cross$0.1027+27.8%+20.0%
2019-04-11Bearish cross$0.1144+2.6%−10.2%
2019-04-02Bullish cross$0.1211+2.5%−17.6%
2019-03-23Bearish cross$0.1068+0.4%+5.1%
2019-02-09Bullish cross$0.0807−3.2%+26.4%

Newest first. “Pending” means the days after the signal have not all happened yet.

A record, not a forecast. These are the same signals our screener flags, graded on Stellar's own history. Signals cluster in a few market cycles and the days after them overlap, so a handful of events cannot show an edge.

Questions

Is Stellar's MACD bullish or bearish?
Bearish on the October 6, 2026 close: the MACD line (0.01) is below the signal line (0.01).
When was Stellar's last MACD crossover?
The last was a bearish cross on October 3, 2026, 3 days ago.
How many MACD crossovers has Stellar had?
200 crossovers since January 1, 2019, 31 in the last year.
Does a bullish MACD cross work for Stellar?
30 days after a bullish cross, XLM was higher 47% of the time (median −4.8%) across 99 crosses, against 44% for a random day. It is a lagging indicator, so much of a move has often happened by the time it crosses.

MACD for other coins

Disclaimer: This page is educational and does not constitute financial advice. It describes past price moves from daily closes on Binance and leaves out fees, taxes and staking rewards. Past performance does not predict future results. Cryptocurrency prices are volatile; never invest more than you can afford to lose.