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Bitcoin moving averages: 50-day, 200-day and every golden and death cross

Bitcoin closed at $85,584.00 on October 6, 2026, 7.1% above its 50-day average and 19.4% above its 200-day. The 50-day is above the 200-day. Below is every golden and death cross BTC has had, with the 30 and 90-day results.

Vs 50-day
+7.1%

$79,925.60

Vs 200-day
+19.4%

$71,693.38

50-day vs 200-day
above

golden cross 28 days ago

Days above the 200-day
20%

last year · 58% over all 2,637 days

What stands out

  • Bitcoin is 19.4% above its 200-day average and the 50-day is above the 200-day, since the golden cross on September 8, 2026.
  • 90 days after a golden cross, Bitcoin was higher 86% of the time with a median move of +19% across 7 events (a small sample); on an ordinary day it was higher 58% of the time (median +7.5%), so the result was better than usual.
  • 90 days after a death cross, Bitcoin was higher 63% of the time with a median move of +29% across 8 events; on an ordinary day it was higher 58% of the time (median +7.5%), so the result was better than usual.
  • The close was above the 200-day average on 58% of days since it could first be calculated, and 20% of the last 365.

Counted from 2,836 daily closes on Binance to October 6, 2026. Events cluster in a few market cycles and overlap in time, so these are small, related samples: a record of what happened, not a forecast.

Bitcoin price with 50 and 200-day averages

Daily closes. Hover or touch the chart for a day.

$60,000$80,000$100,000$120,0006 Nov5 Jan6 Mar5 May4 Jul2 Sept
  • 50-day average
  • 200-day average
  • Golden cross
  • Death cross

What followed each signal

How Bitcoin did 30 and 90 days after each kind of signal, against every ordinary day in the same data. Only events with the full 90 days of data after them count towards the 90-day figures.

Death cross8−4.4%38%+29.4%63%
Golden cross7+3.2%57%+19.1%86%
Any day2,806+2.4%57%+7.5%58%

“Any day” is the yardstick: what followed every day in the data, signal or not.

Every Moving averages signal on Bitcoin

16 signals since January 1, 2019, newest first. Select a column heading to sort; hover a return for the prices.

2026-09-08Golden cross$78,455.80pendingpending
2025-11-16Death cross$94,261.40−6.8%−25.9%
2025-05-22Golden cross$111,696.00−8.6%+2.3%
2025-04-07Death cross$79,163.20+22.6%+37.9%
2024-10-28Golden cross$69,962.20+37.0%+46.7%
2024-08-10Death cross$60,923.50−6.4%+25.6%
2023-10-30Golden cross$34,474.70+9.8%+21.9%
2023-09-12Death cross$25,840.10+3.6%+59.6%
2023-02-07Golden cross$23,240.50−12.4%+19.1%
2022-01-14Death cross$43,060.00−2.3%−7.2%
2021-09-15Golden cross$48,121.40+28.2%+0.5%
2021-06-19Death cross$35,483.70−13.1%+33.3%
2020-05-21Golden cross$9,068.65+3.2%+29.6%
2020-03-25Death cross$6,677.43+12.4%+44.1%
2020-02-18Golden cross$10,164.70−39.4%−4.2%
2019-10-26Death cross$9,230.00−23.0%−8.6%

Newest first. “Pending” means the days after the signal have not all happened yet.

A record, not a forecast. These are the same signals our screener flags, graded on Bitcoin's own history. Signals cluster in a few market cycles and the days after them overlap, so a handful of events cannot show an edge.

Questions

Is Bitcoin above its 200-day moving average?
Yes: it closed at $85,584.00 on October 6, 2026, 19.4% above the 200-day average of $71,693.38.
When was Bitcoin's last golden cross?
September 8, 2026, when the 50-day average crossed above the 200-day with BTC at $78,455.80.
When was Bitcoin's last death cross?
November 16, 2025, when the 50-day average crossed below the 200-day with BTC at $94,261.40.
What happens after Bitcoin's golden crosses?
90 days after a golden cross, BTC was higher 86% of the time (median +19%) across 7 crosses, against 58% for a random day. The cross is slow by design: the move it follows has often largely happened.

Disclaimer: This page is educational and does not constitute financial advice. It describes past price moves from daily closes on Binance and leaves out fees, taxes and staking rewards. Past performance does not predict future results. Cryptocurrency prices are volatile; never invest more than you can afford to lose.