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Crypto in October: average return and history by year

October has been a positive month for crypto on average: across the 17 largest coins, the typical coin in the average October since 2019 returned +6.2%, and the market closed October higher in 5 of 7 years. Pick the coins you care about to see the year-by-year record, or hover any bar and cell for the detail.

What stands out

  • October ranks 4th of the 12 months by average return (+6.2%). That is in the middle of the pack.
  • One year carries a lot of this: take out October 2021 and the average falls from +6.2% to +1.6%.
  • Bitcoin alone closed October higher in 6 of 7 years, averaging +17%; its best was 2021 (+40%) and its worst 2025 (−3.9%).
  • The spread between years is wide: October 2021 was the best year (the median coin returned +34%) and October 2025 the worst (−11%).
  • Zcash has done best in October (median +33%, up in 4 of 5 years) and NEAR Protocol worst (median −13%, up in 2 of 5).
  • October is known as “Uptober”: a reliably green month. In our data the typical coin was up in 5 of 7 years, so the nickname has held.

Counted from 7 years of daily closes (105 coin-months). The coins move together, so each year is one observation, not one per coin: too few to call a pattern.

October year by year

Each bar is one year: the median coin among those chosen below, so one runaway coin cannot set the figure. Change the coins and everything on this page recalculates.

Typical October
+6.2%

average of the years; median year +3.6%

Years up
5 of 7

71% of years

Best year
+34%

2021

Worst year
−11%

2025

October, year by year (median of 17 coins)

Each bar is the median coin that year; the dashed line averages the years. Hover or tap a bar for every coin behind it. The hollow bar is the month still running.

0%20%+8.8%2019−2.6%2020+34%2021+3.6%2022+9.7%2023+1.6%2024−11%2025+0.5%2026 so faraverage +6.2%
BTC+10+28+40+5.5+28+11−3.9+17%6/7
ETH+0.7+7.4+43+18+8.6−3.2−7.2+9.7%5/7
BNB+26−2.6+35+14+5.4+1.6+8.0+13%6/7
XRP+15−0.8+17−3.3+16−17−12+2.2%3/7
SOL–−47+43−2.1+80+11−10+12%3/6
TRX––+14+3.7+9.7+7.9−11+4.7%4/5
ZEC––+56−5.4+5.2+33+444+107%4/5
DOGE+8.8−2.6+37+106+10.0+42−20+26%5/7
LINK+54+14+25+3.6+39−3.7−19+16%5/7
ADA+6.1−8.2−7.1−6.7+15−8.4−25−4.8%2/7
XLM+5.3+3.9+34−2.9+7.9−6.2−16+3.6%4/7
NEAR––+47−13+18−23−20+1.6%2/5
BCH––+19−4.2+4.7+6.4−4.5+4.2%3/5
LTC––+25+2.9+4.4+3.8−11+5.1%4/5
AVAX–−16−3.2+12+23−9.7−39−5.6%2/6
HBAR−12−6.9+21+3.8+5.6−19−6.5−2.1%3/7
SHIB––+830+10+6.1+1.9−15+167%4/5
Median coin+8.8−2.6+34+3.6+9.7+1.6−11+6.2%5/7
Coins up8/94/1115/1710/1717/179/172/1762%–

Percent. In order of market cap; select a column heading to sort by it.

History, not a forecast. October has 7 years of data behind it, from a few big bull and bear runs. Coins move together, so a year is one observation however many coins you select.

How October compares with the other months

All coins, the same method for every month. Select a month for its own page.

January+11%4/8+7.2%1
February+4.1%4/8+7.7%6
March+5.3%5/8+7.2%5
April+3.3%5/8+7.3%7
May+0.8%4/8+3.9%8
June−12%0/8−4.1%12
July+9.7%6/8+8.3%2
August−0.4%4/8−0.5%10
September+0.4%4/8−1.0%9
October+6.2%5/7+17%4
November+7.0%3/7+4.4%3
December−9.3%1/7+3.7%11

In calendar order. Select a column heading to sort by it.

Questions

Is October a good month for crypto?
Across the 7 years in our data, the typical (median) coin among the largest returned +6.2% in October in the average year, and the market closed higher in 5 of them. That makes October the 4th strongest of the 12 months. With only 7 years of data behind it, treat it as a record of what happened, not a forecast.
Is October a good month for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin closed October higher in 6 of 7 years in our data, with an average return of +17% and a median of +11%. Its best October was 2021 (+40%) and its worst 2025 (−3.9%).
What was the best October for crypto?
October 2021, when the median coin returned +34% (15 of 17 coins up). The worst was October 2025, when the median coin returned −11%.
Which crypto does best in October?
Of the 17 coins with enough Octobers in our data, Zcash has the highest median October (+33%) and NEAR Protocol the lowest (−13%). A coin's record in one month is a handful of observations, so a ranking this short can reorder in a single year.
Does the October nickname hold up in the data?
October is known as “Uptober”: a reliably green month. In our data the typical coin was up in 5 of 7 years, so the nickname has held.
Can I time my purchases by the month?
Not reliably. Each calendar month has at most 7 years of data behind it, from a few market cycles, and a pattern that held in those years has often vanished in the next. Prices to October 6, 2026. If you buy on a schedule instead, the DCA calculator shows what that would have returned.
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Disclaimer: This page is educational and does not constitute financial advice. It describes past price moves from daily closes on Binance and leaves out fees, taxes and staking rewards. Past performance does not predict future results. Cryptocurrency prices are volatile; never invest more than you can afford to lose.